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TSCO

TSCO

Medium conviction

Tractor Supply Company

Consumer Cyclical · NASDAQ

$16.4B mkt cap

Brief updated Jun 12, 2026

Tractor Supply Company functions as a prominent retailer, catering to the rural lifestyle demographic throughout the United States. Its extensive product catalog encompasses items crucial for the health, well-being, development, and enclosure of equine, livestock, pets, and small animals. Additional

Decifer Research·Data summary

TSCO is a medium-conviction name in Consumer Cyclical

TSCO sits at the intersection of key themes currently active in the market. The scoring engine rates it medium based on how well the active market forces line up with its business, plus available fundamental data. Financial metrics and analyst consensus provide additional context.

Why now

The market forces active right now are aligned with the company's core business exposure. The timing reflects the intersection of theme strength and available catalyst data.

Key risks

Data availability limits full scoring across all dimensions. Market forces can reverse rapidly; theme exposure does not guarantee the price follows. Fundamental valuation data may not reflect the most recent quarterly results.

What to watch

Monitor conviction score changes, especially the macro and analyst dimensions. Earnings guidance updates and analyst consensus shifts are the primary near-term catalysts.

34Medium conviction Conviction
macro
25/25
analyst
22/38
momentum
15/20
forward catalyst
0/15
valuation
8/23
highs
-12/12
news catalyst
3/12
options flow
0/12
peer network
0/8
counter thesis
0/3
Key financials
Revenue growth (YoY)-786.0%
Gross margin3246.0%
Operating margin928.0%
Net margin691.0%
P/E ratio15.2x
Return on equity4257.0%
FCF yield357.0%
Debt / equity2.5x
EV / sales1.4x
Valuation
Analyst consensusBUY
DCF fair value$40
Next EPS estimate$0.51
Macro context
Risk-on rotation underway

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Jun 5, 2026

Analyst intelligence
25 Buy24 Hold1 Sell
Earnings intelligence

Earnings surprises

-11.4%

2026-04

-7.0%

2026-01

+1.6%

2025-10

+1.0%

2025-07

-7.6%

2025-04

Recent updates
geopolitical de escalationYesterday

The US has held off on striking Iran, leading to a gain in cryptocurrency prices, with analysts seeing a potential 'strong and vital move' in Bitcoin if the situation continues to de-escalate. This de-escalation could reduce geopolitical risk and increase investor appetite for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.

regulatory action4d ago

Wall Street giants such as Goldman Sachs and BlackRock have endorsed the CLARITY Act, which aims to provide regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies, potentially paving the way for increased institutional investment and adoption. This development could have significant implications for the crypto market and the broader financial sector.

central bank rate decision4d ago

The Federal Reserve has decided to keep its key interest rate unchanged, leading to a partial recovery in the stock market. This decision has significant implications for the overall monetary policy and market expectations.

central bank rate decision4d ago

The equities market is experiencing intraday losses ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision, which could significantly impact market direction and investor sentiment. The decision, coupled with major tech earnings reports, is poised to influence the overall economic outlook.

other macroJul 16, 2026

Risk appetite returns to the market despite geopolitical tensions, with Bitcoin holding firm, indicating a potential decrease in geopolitical risk. This shift in market sentiment could impact various asset classes and the overall macro environment.

Generated Fri, 12 Jun 2026 05:12:28 GMT by Decifer intelligence engine. For informational purposes only — not investment advice. Decifer Intelligence Hub.