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TDG

TDG

High conviction

TransDigm Group Incorporated

Industrials · NYSE

$75.4B mkt cap

Brief updated Jul 5, 2026

TransDigm Group Incorporated is a global aerospace enterprise specializing in the development, manufacturing, and distribution of a wide array of aircraft components. Operating across the United States and internationally, its business is structured around three distinct divisions. The Power & Contr

Decifer Research·Data summary

TDG is a high-conviction name in Industrials

TDG sits at the intersection of key themes currently active in the market. The scoring engine rates it high based on how well the active market forces line up with its business, plus available fundamental data. Financial metrics and analyst consensus provide additional context.

Why now

The market forces active right now are aligned with the company's core business exposure. The timing reflects the intersection of theme strength and available catalyst data.

Key risks

Data availability limits full scoring across all dimensions. Market forces can reverse rapidly; theme exposure does not guarantee the price follows. Fundamental valuation data may not reflect the most recent quarterly results.

What to watch

Monitor conviction score changes, especially the macro and analyst dimensions. Earnings guidance updates and analyst consensus shifts are the primary near-term catalysts.

29High conviction Conviction
macro
25/25
analyst
18/38
momentum
10/20
forward catalyst
4/15
valuation
11/23
highs
-5/12
news catalyst
0/12
options flow
0/12
peer network
4/8
counter thesis
-6/3
Key financials
Revenue growth (YoY)1133.0%
Gross margin5902.0%
Operating margin4651.0%
Net margin2129.0%
P/E ratio38.8x
Return on equity-2426.0%
FCF yield245.0%
Debt / equity-3.4x
EV / sales10.9x
Valuation
Analyst consensusBUY
DCF fair value$2338
Next EPS estimate$11.68
Macro context
Geopolitical risk elevated

Iran War Puts $124 Billion Gulf Remittance Lifeline at Risk

The Iran war poses a significant risk to the $124 billion Gulf remittance lifeline, which could have far-reaching consequences for the global economy and financial markets. This escalation of geopolitical tensions may lead to increased uncertainty and volatility in various asset classes.

Jun 22, 2026

U.S. Military Expert Issues Grave Warning: ‘We Need More Munitions, and Deliveries Are Years Behind.’ What Stocks Can Benefit?

A U.S. military expert has warned that the country is facing a significant shortage of munitions, with deliveries years behind schedule, which could impact national security and defense capabilities. This warning highlights the need for increased production and procurement of munitions.

Jun 23, 2026

'Qatar Says US-Iran Hotline Essential To Reopen Strait of Hormuz' - FT

Qatar emphasizes the need for a US-Iran hotline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, indicating heightened tensions in the region that could impact global oil supply and shipping routes. This development suggests an increased risk of conflict or disruption in a critical waterway.

Jun 24, 2026

Redditors Say This Is The Best Defense Stock To Buy After Iran War

The conflict with Iran has led to increased interest in defense stocks, with Redditors identifying a particular stock as a top pick, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment towards defense and aerospace companies. This escalation in geopolitical tensions could lead to increased defense spending and market volatility.

Jun 24, 2026

Analyst intelligence
22 Buy17 Hold0 Sell
Earnings intelligence

Earnings surprises

+4.1%

2026-05

+1.6%

2026-02

+7.8%

2025-11

-2.9%

2025-08

+1.7%

2025-05

Recent updates
geopolitical escalationYesterday

Peter Schiff highlights Trump's low approval ratings amidst soaring inflation and the possibility of a war with Iran, which could lead to impeachment, impacting market sentiment and geopolitical stability.

regulatory actionYesterday

Anthony Scaramucci suggests Republicans may be blocking the Crypto Act to blame Democrats, which could impact cryptocurrency regulation and the broader financial sector. This political maneuvering may delay or influence the outcome of the legislation.

currency interventionYesterday

A photograph of Scott Bessent's notepad at Camp David appears to show a plan to buy up to $10 billion in Japanese Yen, suggesting potential currency intervention. This could impact currency markets and influence the value of the Yen.

geopolitical escalation4d ago

The Dow Jones index plummeted over 850 points as President Trump's latest warning to Iran sparked fears of escalating tensions, causing crude oil prices to surge ahead of a critical Federal Reserve decision. This escalation in geopolitical risk could have significant implications for global markets and economies.

geopolitical escalation4d ago

The US equity market is experiencing a slump ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decisions and big-tech earnings releases, while crude oil prices are surging due to escalating tensions between the US and Iran following President Trump's vow to take harsh action against Iran.

Generated Sun, 05 Jul 2026 06:28:20 GMT by Decifer intelligence engine. For informational purposes only — not investment advice. Decifer Intelligence Hub.