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SW

SW

Medium conviction

Smurfit Westrock plc

Basic Materials · NYSE

$24.6B mkt cap

Brief updated Jun 28, 2026

Smurfit Westrock Plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products in North America, South America, Europe, Asia, Africa, Australia, and internationally. The company produces containerboard and pa

Decifer Research·Data summary

SW is a medium-conviction name in Basic Materials

SW sits at the intersection of key themes currently active in the market. The scoring engine rates it medium based on how well the active market forces line up with its business, plus available fundamental data. Financial metrics and analyst consensus provide additional context.

Why now

The market forces active right now are aligned with the company's core business exposure. The timing reflects the intersection of theme strength and available catalyst data.

Key risks

Data availability limits full scoring across all dimensions. Market forces can reverse rapidly; theme exposure does not guarantee the price follows. Fundamental valuation data may not reflect the most recent quarterly results.

What to watch

Monitor conviction score changes, especially the macro and analyst dimensions. Earnings guidance updates and analyst consensus shifts are the primary near-term catalysts.

36Medium conviction Conviction
macro
5/25
analyst
6/38
momentum
15/20
forward catalyst
0/15
valuation
15/23
highs
3/12
news catalyst
0/12
options flow
0/12
peer network
4/8
counter thesis
0/3
Key financials
Revenue growth (YoY)-1161.0%
Gross margin1836.0%
Operating margin480.0%
Net margin122.0%
P/E ratio63.2x
Return on equity208.0%
FCF yield444.0%
Debt / equity0.8x
EV / sales1.2x
Valuation
Analyst consensusBUY
DCF fair value$27
Next EPS estimate$0.90
Macro context

Nasdaq Jumps Nearly 500 Points On Iran Peace Deal Hopes: Investor Sentiment Improves, Greed Index Remains In ‘Fear’ Zone

Hopes of a peace deal with Iran have improved investor sentiment, leading to a significant jump in the Nasdaq, as tensions easing could reduce geopolitical risk and lead to increased market confidence.

Jun 22, 2026

Stocks Down Pre-Bell as Traders Assess US-Iran Deal Progress, Await Key Inflation Report

The progress in US-Iran deal talks has sparked hopes of easing geopolitical tensions, while traders await a key inflation report that could influence monetary policy decisions. This combination of events could significantly impact market sentiment and asset prices.

Jun 22, 2026

Stock Market Today: Dow Wavers Amid U.S.-Iran Peace Talks; SpaceX Stock Sells Off (Live Coverage)

The U.S. and Iran are engaging in peace talks, which could lead to a reduction in tensions and potentially impact markets. The outcome of these talks is being closely watched by investors, with the Dow wavering in response to the news.

Jun 22, 2026

Stock Market Today: Dow Rises Amid U.S.-Iran Peace Talks; SpaceX Stock Sells Off (Live Coverage)

The U.S. and Iran are engaging in peace talks, which could lead to a reduction in tensions and a decrease in geopolitical risk, and this development is supporting the stock market, including the Dow Jones index. The potential for de-escalation is a significant macro event that could impact various asset classes.

Jun 22, 2026

Analyst intelligence
11 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Earnings intelligence

Earnings surprises

-16.0%

2026-04

-28.7%

2026-02

-14.7%

2025-10

-24.2%

2025-07

+9.4%

2025-05

Recent updates
geopolitical de escalationYesterday

The US has held off on striking Iran, leading to a gain in cryptocurrency prices, with analysts seeing a potential 'strong and vital move' in Bitcoin if the situation continues to de-escalate. This de-escalation could reduce geopolitical risk and increase investor appetite for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.

regulatory action4d ago

Wall Street giants such as Goldman Sachs and BlackRock have endorsed the CLARITY Act, which aims to provide regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies, potentially paving the way for increased institutional investment and adoption. This development could have significant implications for the crypto market and the broader financial sector.

central bank rate decision4d ago

The Federal Reserve has decided to keep its key interest rate unchanged, leading to a partial recovery in the stock market. This decision has significant implications for the overall monetary policy and market expectations.

central bank rate decision4d ago

The equities market is experiencing intraday losses ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision, which could significantly impact market direction and investor sentiment. The decision, coupled with major tech earnings reports, is poised to influence the overall economic outlook.

central bank forward guidance5d ago

Crypto markets are rallying in anticipation of an upcoming Federal Reserve rate cut decision, with analysts flagging key timing signals for Bitcoin's next cycle bottom. A Fed rate cut would represent a shift in monetary policy with broad risk-on implications across asset classes including crypto.

Generated Sun, 28 Jun 2026 06:43:55 GMT by Decifer intelligence engine. For informational purposes only — not investment advice. Decifer Intelligence Hub.