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PHM

PHM

Medium conviction

PulteGroup, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · NYSE

$23.5B mkt cap

Brief updated Jun 15, 2026

PulteGroup, Inc. operates as a leading American homebuilder, primarily focusing on acquiring and developing land for residential purposes, followed by the construction of various types of homes across the United States. Its diverse portfolio encompasses a range of housing designs, including single-f

Decifer Research·Data summary

PHM is a medium-conviction name in Consumer Cyclical

PHM sits at the intersection of key themes currently active in the market. The scoring engine rates it medium based on how well the active market forces line up with its business, plus available fundamental data. Financial metrics and analyst consensus provide additional context.

Why now

The market forces active right now are aligned with the company's core business exposure. The timing reflects the intersection of theme strength and available catalyst data.

Key risks

Data availability limits full scoring across all dimensions. Market forces can reverse rapidly; theme exposure does not guarantee the price follows. Fundamental valuation data may not reflect the most recent quarterly results.

What to watch

Monitor conviction score changes, especially the macro and analyst dimensions. Earnings guidance updates and analyst consensus shifts are the primary near-term catalysts.

24Medium conviction Conviction
macro
25/25
analyst
11/38
momentum
10/20
forward catalyst
0/15
valuation
2/23
highs
3/12
news catalyst
0/12
options flow
0/12
peer network
8/8
counter thesis
0/3
Key financials
Revenue growth (YoY)-2607.0%
Gross margin2606.0%
Operating margin1640.0%
Net margin1214.0%
P/E ratio11.6x
Return on equity1592.0%
FCF yield701.0%
Debt / equity0.2x
EV / sales1.4x
Valuation
Analyst consensusHOLD
DCF fair value$157
Next EPS estimate$4.21
Macro context
Bond yields falling, tailwind for growth

US Equity Futures Mostly Lower Pre-Bell Amid Continued Tech Stock Sell-Off, US-Iran War Entering Fourth Month

The US-Iran war is entering its fourth month, and the continued conflict is contributing to a sell-off in tech stocks, which is affecting US equity futures. This prolonged conflict poses significant risks to global markets and stability.

Jun 5, 2026

US Equity Futures Mostly Lower Pre-Bell Amid Continued Tech Stock Sell-Off, US-Iran War Entering Fourth Month

The US-Iran war has entered its fourth month, contributing to a sell-off in tech stocks and weighing on US equity futures, which are mostly lower pre-bell. This ongoing conflict poses significant risks to global stability and markets.

Jun 5, 2026

Shares of specialty retail companies are trading higher as oil prices and bond yields retreat amid optimism for a lasting U.S.-Iran peace agreement, which may lead to cheaper borrowing for consumers.

A potential U.S.-Iran peace agreement is driving optimism, leading to lower oil prices and bond yields, which could result in cheaper borrowing for consumers and boost specialty retail companies. This development may have broader implications for the macro environment, including reduced geopolitical risk and increased consumer spending.

Jun 9, 2026

Dow Jones Futures Fall On Iran News After Market Whipsaws; CPI Inflation On Tap

Rising tensions with Iran have led to market volatility, with Dow Jones futures falling, and investors are also awaiting the release of CPI inflation data, which could impact market direction. This escalation and upcoming data release have the potential to significantly affect market sentiment and asset prices.

Jun 9, 2026

Analyst intelligence
19 Buy22 Hold3 Sell
Earnings intelligence

Earnings surprises

-0.6%

2026-04

-8.2%

2026-01

+2.4%

2025-10

+2.7%

2025-07

+5.8%

2025-04

Recent updates
geopolitical escalationYesterday

Peter Schiff highlights Trump's low approval ratings amidst soaring inflation and the possibility of a war with Iran, which could lead to impeachment, impacting market sentiment and geopolitical stability.

pmi dataYesterday

China's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for July came in at 50.9, missing the estimated 51.9 and lower than the previous month's 51.7, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing activity. This could have implications for global economic growth and trade.

currency interventionYesterday

A photograph of Scott Bessent's notepad at Camp David appears to show a plan to buy up to $10 billion in Japanese Yen, suggesting potential currency intervention. This could impact currency markets and influence the value of the Yen.

central bank rate decision4d ago

The Federal Reserve's latest decision has revealed a deepening divide among policymakers over the future direction of interest rates, potentially impacting monetary policy and market expectations. This split could lead to uncertainty and volatility in financial markets.

central bank rate decision4d ago

The Federal Reserve has decided to keep its key interest rate unchanged, leading to a partial recovery in the stock market. This decision has significant implications for the overall monetary policy and market expectations.

Generated Mon, 15 Jun 2026 05:10:28 GMT by Decifer intelligence engine. For informational purposes only — not investment advice. Decifer Intelligence Hub.