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PGR

PGR

High conviction

The Progressive Corporation

Financial Services · NYSE

$124.3B mkt cap

Brief updated Jul 26, 2026

The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, offers a comprehensive range of insurance products and associated services across the United States. Its portfolio includes personal and commercial vehicle coverage, residential and commercial property protection, general liability, and vari

Decifer Research·Data summary

PGR is a high-conviction name in Financial Services

PGR sits at the intersection of key themes currently active in the market. The scoring engine rates it high based on how well the active market forces line up with its business, plus available fundamental data. Financial metrics and analyst consensus provide additional context.

Why now

The market forces active right now are aligned with the company's core business exposure. The timing reflects the intersection of theme strength and available catalyst data.

Key risks

Data availability limits full scoring across all dimensions. Market forces can reverse rapidly; theme exposure does not guarantee the price follows. Fundamental valuation data may not reflect the most recent quarterly results.

What to watch

Monitor conviction score changes, especially the macro and analyst dimensions. Earnings guidance updates and analyst consensus shifts are the primary near-term catalysts.

25High conviction Conviction
macro
25/25
analyst
6/38
momentum
15/20
forward catalyst
0/15
valuation
14/23
highs
-5/12
news catalyst
-3/12
options flow
0/12
peer network
0/8
counter thesis
0/3
Key financials
Revenue growth (YoY)648.0%
Gross margin2691.0%
Operating margin1623.0%
Net margin1285.0%
P/E ratio10.7x
Return on equity3554.0%
FCF yield1321.0%
Debt / equity0.2x
EV / sales1.5x
Valuation
Analyst consensusHOLD
DCF fair value$389
Next EPS estimate$3.66
Macro context
Credit conditions easing
Analyst intelligence
15 Buy22 Hold4 Sell
Earnings intelligence

Earnings surprises

2026-07

-0.8%

2026-04

+5.2%

2026-01

-18.8%

2025-10

+10.2%

2025-07

Recent updates
regulatory actionYesterday

Anthony Scaramucci suggests Republicans may be blocking the Crypto Act to blame Democrats, which could impact cryptocurrency regulation and the broader financial sector. This political maneuvering may delay or influence the outcome of the legislation.

other macro4d ago

Elon Musk's prediction of extreme deflation by 2036 and his consideration to donate his entire fortune could have significant implications for the global economy and markets, potentially influencing inflation expectations and asset prices.

semiconductor shortage4d ago

Samsung's chip profit has increased significantly due to AI memory shortages, indicating a supply chain disruption in the semiconductor industry. This could have broader implications for the tech sector and global economy.

central bank rate decision4d ago

The Federal Reserve has decided to hold interest rates at 3.5%-3.75%, which may impact consumer spending and retail sales, particularly for companies like Walmart, Costco, and Target. This decision is significant as it may influence the overall economic outlook and market expectations.

Generated Sun, 26 Jul 2026 06:29:56 GMT by Decifer intelligence engine. For informational purposes only — not investment advice. Decifer Intelligence Hub.