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OLLI

OLLI

High conviction

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · NASDAQ

$4.6B mkt cap

Brief updated Jun 7, 2026

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pe

Decifer Research·Data summary

OLLI is a high-conviction name in Consumer Defensive

OLLI sits at the intersection of key macro themes currently active in the market. The conviction engine scores it high based on macro driver alignment and available fundamental data. Financial metrics and analyst consensus provide additional context.

Why now

Active macro drivers are currently aligned with the company's core business exposure. The timing reflects the intersection of thematic momentum and available catalyst data.

Key risks

Data availability limits full conviction scoring across all dimensions. Macro drivers can reverse rapidly; theme exposure does not guarantee price follow-through. Fundamental valuation data may not reflect the most recent quarterly results.

What to watch

Monitor conviction score changes, especially the macro and analyst dimensions. Earnings guidance updates and analyst consensus shifts are the primary near-term catalysts.

39High conviction Conviction
macro
0/25
analyst
22/38
momentum
13/20
forward catalyst
0/15
valuation
14/23
highs
-12/12
news catalyst
3/12
options flow
0/12
peer network
8/8
counter thesis
0/3
Key financials
Revenue growth (YoY)-1544.0%
Gross margin3921.0%
Operating margin1198.0%
Net margin913.0%
P/E ratio18.7x
Return on equity1349.0%
FCF yield459.0%
Debt / equity0.4x
EV / sales1.9x
Valuation
Analyst consensusBUY
DCF fair value$94
Next EPS estimate$1.81
Macro context

President Trump On Iran Says They Are Close To Signing Papers

President Trump announces that the US and Iran are close to signing a deal, indicating a potential de-escalation of tensions between the two countries. This development could have significant implications for global markets and geopolitics.

Jun 3, 2026

Fed's Daly Speaking On Bloomberg Says Forward Guidance Not Good At This Juncture; Dot Com Bubble Very Different From AI Boom; Hard To Say Labor Market Has Firmed; Labor Market Is Resilient, We've Stabilized

Federal Reserve's Mary Daly expressed skepticism about using forward guidance at this time, citing the resilience of the labor market and differences between the current AI-driven economy and the dot-com bubble era. This suggests a potential shift in the Fed's communication strategy.

Jun 4, 2026

Oil drops, stocks mostly higher despite AI concerns

Oil prices have dropped, and stocks are mostly higher despite concerns about AI, indicating a mixed market reaction to various economic and technological factors. This event reflects the complex interplay between energy markets, technological advancements, and investor sentiment.

Jun 4, 2026

Fed's Schmid Speaking At Hochatown Economic Forum Says Think AI Could Lead To A Rebirth In Rural Areas Since People Can Create Businesses More Easily From Remote Areas

The Fed's Schmid suggests AI could lead to a rebirth in rural areas by enabling remote business creation, which may have implications for economic development and growth. This could potentially influence monetary policy and regional economic development strategies.

Jun 4, 2026

Analyst intelligence
23 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Earnings intelligence

Earnings surprises

+4.6%

2026-06

+0.7%

2026-03

+1.4%

2025-12

+6.8%

2025-08

+5.5%

2025-06

Recent updates
geopolitical de escalationYesterday

The US has held off on striking Iran, leading to a gain in cryptocurrency prices, with analysts seeing a potential 'strong and vital move' in Bitcoin if the situation continues to de-escalate. This de-escalation could reduce geopolitical risk and increase investor appetite for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.

regulatory action4d ago

Wall Street giants such as Goldman Sachs and BlackRock have endorsed the CLARITY Act, which aims to provide regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies, potentially paving the way for increased institutional investment and adoption. This development could have significant implications for the crypto market and the broader financial sector.

central bank rate decision4d ago

The Federal Reserve has decided to keep its key interest rate unchanged, leading to a partial recovery in the stock market. This decision has significant implications for the overall monetary policy and market expectations.

central bank rate decision4d ago

The equities market is experiencing intraday losses ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision, which could significantly impact market direction and investor sentiment. The decision, coupled with major tech earnings reports, is poised to influence the overall economic outlook.

central bank forward guidance5d ago

Crypto markets are rallying in anticipation of an upcoming Federal Reserve rate cut decision, with analysts flagging key timing signals for Bitcoin's next cycle bottom. A Fed rate cut would represent a shift in monetary policy with broad risk-on implications across asset classes including crypto.

Generated Sun, 07 Jun 2026 06:27:27 GMT by Decifer intelligence engine. For informational purposes only — not investment advice. Decifer Intelligence Hub.