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CNX

CNX

Medium conviction

CNX Resources Corporation

Energy · NYSE

$5.3B mkt cap

Brief updated Today

CNX Resources Corporation operates as an independent company primarily focused on natural gas and midstream activities. Its core business involves the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas properties, predominantly situated within the Appalachian Basin. The company's o

Decifer Research·AI synthesis

CNX benefits from oil supply shock

CNX Resources Corporation is an independent natural gas company with 14.3% year-over-year revenue growth. Its high gross margin of 4986.0% and net margin of 3970.0% indicate strong profitability. The company's conviction score of 41/100 suggests a moderate investment case, driven by the oil supply shock. This macro moment benefits CNX, as evidenced by its low P/E ratio of 5.6x.

Why now

The current oil supply shock, exacerbated by a 43-year low in America's oil reserves, creates a favorable environment for CNX. With a strong revenue growth rate, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, making it an interesting investment opportunity at this time.

Key risks

Valuation risk is a concern, as CNX's DCF intrinsic value of $38 may not be realized if the oil supply shock subsides. Execution risk is also a factor, as the company's ability to maintain its high margins and revenue growth is crucial to its investment case. Additionally, macro risk from changes in government policies or global events could impact CNX's operations.

What to watch

Investors should monitor CNX's revenue growth and margin performance over the next quarter to confirm the company's ability to capitalize on the oil supply shock. The resolution of the Middle East War and its impact on global oil reserves will also be a key indicator of CNX's future prospects.

18Medium conviction Conviction
macro
25/25
analyst
8/38
momentum
5/20
forward catalyst
0/15
valuation
11/23
highs
-5/12
news catalyst
0/12
options flow
0/12
peer network
8/8
counter thesis
0/3
Key financials
Revenue growth (YoY)1426.0%
Gross margin4986.0%
Operating margin4223.0%
Net margin3970.0%
P/E ratio5.6x
Return on equity2119.0%
FCF yield986.0%
Debt / equity0.5x
EV / sales3.2x
Valuation
Analyst consensusHOLD
DCF fair value$38
Next EPS estimate$0.61
Theme exposure
Oil & EnergyDirect

CNX Resources Corporation operates in oil & gas exploration & production. That places it inside the Oil & Energy story.

Macro context
Oil supply shock active

Trump Criticized Biden for Draining America’s Oil Reserves. They’re Now at a 43-Year Low Amidst a Middle East War.

US Strategic Petroleum Reserve levels have fallen to a 43-year low, reducing the government's capacity to buffer oil price shocks at a time of active Middle East conflict. This structural vulnerability in US energy policy raises concerns about energy security and the ability to respond to supply disruptions.

6d ago

Trump Criticized Biden for Draining America’s Oil Reserves. They’re Now at a 43-Year Low Amidst a Middle East War.

US Strategic Petroleum Reserve levels have fallen to a 43-year low amid an active Middle East conflict, reducing America's buffer capacity against oil supply disruptions. This constrains the US government's ability to intervene in energy markets during a period of elevated geopolitical risk.

6d ago

U.S. Central Command Posts On X "At 5:45 p.m. ET today, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forces launched multiple ballistic missiles from Iran in an attempted surprise attack on U.S. forces based in the Middle East. All Iranian missiles were successfully intercepted. U.S. forces remain vigilant and at a high state of readiness."

Iranian IRGC forces launched a ballistic missile attack on U.S. military positions in the Middle East, which was fully intercepted according to U.S. Central Command. This represents a direct state-on-state military strike against U.S. forces, dramatically escalating regional tensions and raising the risk of broader conflict.

6d ago

Update: US Equity Indexes Slump Ahead of Fed Policy Moves, Big-Tech Results; Crude Oil Soars as Trump Vows to Hit Iran Hard

The US equity market is experiencing a slump ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decisions and big-tech earnings releases, while crude oil prices are surging due to escalating tensions between the US and Iran following President Trump's vow to take harsh action against Iran.

5d ago

Analyst intelligence
14 Buy21 Hold6 Sell
Earnings intelligence

Earnings surprises

+19.6%

2026-07

+30.1%

2026-04

+70.0%

2026-01

+29.7%

2025-10

+51.3%

2025-07

Upcoming catalysts

Earnings announcement — 2026-10-29

2026-10-29

Generated Tue, 04 Aug 2026 07:41:54 GMT by Decifer intelligence engine. For informational purposes only — not investment advice. Decifer Intelligence Hub.